Joel

The Cutting Room Floor

Or Something Like It.........

Previous Entry Share Next Entry
The 2010 Oscar Predictions!!!
Joel
damngoodphil
BEST PICTURE
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Precious
Up in the Air
Inglourious Basterds
Up
The Blind Side
District 9
An Education
A Serious Man

Okay, here goes: Based on the competition, we can immediately eliminate INGLOURIOUS, DISTRICT 9, and THE BLIND SIDE. UP would be great, but it won't beat the others, especially since it's already getting Best Animated Feature. UP IN THE AIR, A SERIOUS MAN, or AN EDUCATION would be wonderful, but they don't quite have the emotional punch of PRECIOUS and THE HURT LOCKER. Let's get real, though: the Academy loves successful movies, and the chance of them not giving the new highest grossing film of all-time the Best Picture award is pretty slim. Not helped by Nicolas Chartier's ignorant Oscar vote E-Mail campaign against AVATAR.

SHOULD WIN: The Hurt Locker
WILL WIN: Avatar

BEST ACTOR
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker

Freeman's performance was nice, but not Oscar-worthy. Same for Colin Firth. Clooney was great, but not nearly as haunting or gripping as Renner in THE HURT LOCKER. Unfortunately, this is not Renner's award to win. Just give it to Jeff Bridges, please.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Jeff Bridges

BEST ACTRESS
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education

Streep and Mirren are out. Sidibe wasn't as good as Mulligan, nor does she have the buzz that Bullock has. Make no mistake: Sandra Bullock will win/steal Carey Mulligan's award and become the first actress in history to win both an Oscar and Razzie in the same weekend. Here's hoping that's wrong.

SHOULD WIN: Carey Mulligan
WILL WIN: Sandra Bullock

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

Tucci's performance is one of the few (if not only) redeeming qualities of LOVELY BONES, but he won't get it. Damon, Harrelson, and Plummer all had fine performances, but none of them quite as interesting (not to mention frightening) as the one put on for Col. Hans Landa.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Christoph Waltz

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Mo'Nique, Precious
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart

Cruz may have won her (undeserved) Oscar last year, but I don't see the Academy giving it to her again, especially for this role. Gyllenhaal was good, but not nearly as good as the remaining three, while Farmiga was dwarfed by Kendrick in UP IN THE AIR. Kendrick winning would certainly be welcome, but Mo'Nique stole the show with her performance in PRECIOUS, and she'll do the same on Sunday night.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Mo'Nique

BEST DIRECTOR
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Lee Daniels, Precious: Based on the novel 'Push' by Sapphire
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air

Tarantino? Has no chance against his competition here. Reitman? Great choice, but not over THE HURT LOCKER or PRECIOUS. Cameron? Unlikely, though AVATAR'S commercial success and stunning visuals could make the steal. It's basically down to Bigelow and Daniels, and while PRECIOUS was wonderfully directed, Bigelow's hard-hitting vision of the Iraq War takes the cake.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Kathryn Bigelow

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Up
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess and the Frog
The Secret of Kells

All great nominations, but despite their individual strength (especially in the case of CORALINE and SECRET OF KELLS), none of them can top UP.

SHOULD WIN AND WILL WIN: Up

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
The Messenger
A Serious Man
Up

THE MESSENGER won't get it; UP won't get it for the same reason it won't get Best Picture; A SERIOUS MAN would certainly be a surprise, but it's not likely to beat the remaining two. THE HURT LOCKER is looking to sweep nearly every other major award, but it's looking more and more like Tarantino will finally have his first Oscar this year.

SHOULD WIN: The Hurt Locker OR Inglourious Basterds
WILL WIN: Inglourious Basterds

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
District 9
An Education
In the Loop
Precious
Up in the Air

DISTRICT 9 wouldn't be bad, but it's not better than the others. IN THE LOOP has had some great word-of-mouth, but doesn't stand up to PRECIOUS, UP IN THE AIR, or AN EDUCATION. Out of those three, it's either PRECIOUS or UP IN THE AIR. PRECIOUS would be nice, but UP IN THE AIR'S light-heartedness combined with its portrayal of the current economic hardships makes it a shoo-in.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Up In The Air

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
Ajami
El Secreto de Sus Ojos
The Milk of Sorrow
Un Prophète
The White Ribbon

I have not seen any of these, but based upon word-of-mouth and the synopses/trailers, I would narrow it down to either AJAMI or THE WHITE RIBBON. We'll see.

WILL WIN: The White Ribbon.

BEST EDITING
Avatar
District 9
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Precious

Once again, some very tough competition here. DISTRICT 9 is good, but would be more deserving of an award for the picture with the most cuts rather than the best. AVATAR has no shot against the others. INGLOURIOUS is the dark horse here, but the talkiness of many of the scenes (while mostly brilliant) will hold it back. With PRECIOUS getting snubbed for Best Picture and Best Adapted Screenplay, this is their award to win, even if it should be going to THE HURT LOCKER.

SHOULD WIN: The Hurt Locker
WILL WIN: Precious

BEST ART DIRECTION
Avatar
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Nine
Sherlock Holmes
The Young Victoria

Definitely not AVATAR or SHERLOCK HOLMES. Both VICTORIA and NINE look great, but neither are nearly as artistically or imaginatively designed as DOCTOR PARNASSUS.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Avatar
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
The White Ribbon

We can rule out HARRY POTTER and THE WHITE RIBBON. AVATAR'S visuals were stunning, but most of them were digital. Both of the remaining two were wonderfully shot, but I doubt INGLOURIOUS could topple HURT LOCKER here.

SHOULD WIN: Inglourious Basterds OR The Hurt Locker
WILL WIN: The Hurt Locker

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Bright Star
Coco Before Chanel
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Nine
The Young Victoria

PARNASSUS and COCO are appropriately dark and NINE boasts some vibrant outfits, but the only one of these that has a chance of beating THE YOUNG VICTORIA is BRIGHT STAR. And it won't.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: The Young Victoria

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Burma VJ
The Cove
Food, Inc.
The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers
Which Way Home

Once again, I've been unable to see any, so I'm going to take an educated guess. I would narrow it down to either FOOD INC. or THE COVE.

WILL WIN: The Cove

BEST MAKEUP
Il Divo
Star Trek
The Young Victoria

We can eliminate STAR TREK. YOUNG VICTORIA could take it, but IL DIVO deserves it for the way Giolio Andreotti looks alone.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Il Divo

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Avatar
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Hurt Locker
Sherlock Holmes
Up

UP needs to win this, but I have a SINKING feeling that this could be THE HURT LOCKER'S consolation prize for not getting Best Picture. The only other thing offsetting this is that HURT LOCKER will be getting several other awards...but it's just too hard to be sure. AVATAR is nothing we haven't heard from Horner before, while SHERLOCK HOLMES and FANTASTIC MR. FOX don't come anywhere close to beating UP. Nevertheless, I'm going against my better judgement and hoping that the Academy will do the right thing.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Up

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Almost There from The Princess and the Frog
Down in New Orleans from The Princess and the Frog
Loin de Paname from Paris 36
Take it All from Nine
The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart) from Crazy Heart

THE PRINCESS AND THE FROG songs are fun, but won't beat out the others. "Loin de Paname" sounds nice, but it's nothing that you wouldn't expect to hear from a French song; "Take it All" isn't bad, but it's also not Best Original Song material. Meanwhile, the comforting guitar and lyrics of "The Weary Kind" are just what the Oscar ordered.

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart) from Crazy Heart

BEST SOUND EDITING
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Star Trek
Up

We can rule out UP. INGLOURIOUS would be an inspired choice, but not one the Academy is likely to make. Same goes for STAR TREK. AVATAR has a great soundtrack, but nothing terribly out of the ordinary (unlike the visuals). This one should go to THE HURT LOCKER, but with the Academy's knack for voting for whichever film was the loudest, AVATAR is ripe to make the steal.

SHOULD WIN: The Hurt Locker
WILL WIN: Avatar

BEST SOUND MIXING
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Star Trek
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen

The subtlety of INGLOURIOUS won't be enough for it to stand out here. TRANSFORMERS has a slight chance, but is unlikely to topple the others. STAR TREK would be nice, but doesn't have the clout of AVATAR or THE HURT LOCKER. Both of these would be deserved, but we all know AVATAR was more about visuals than sound mixing. Sorry, Cameron.

SHOULD WIN: Avatar OR The Hurt Locker
WILL WIN: The Hurt Locker

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Avatar
District 9
Star Trek

While I'd love to see TREK or DISTRICT 9 get this, AVATAR has this one in the bag (and deservedly so).

SHOULD AND WILL WIN: Avatar

Stay Tuned...

  • 1

mira mobile television

(Anonymous)
Woow! Two days ago i had found the Mobile Phone TV... o-oo I'm so glad that I decided to advise you too l:)

I consider myself a bit of a road warrior. I am on and off jets and through airports at least twice,
usually 4 times a week. I can catch up on news, watch a Discovery program, check up on the stock market or just find something interesting.
The live guide works like cable at home and the connection speed is very good. All in ALL - I RATE A 5 Star program!

here is this miracle :) http://bit.ly/awesome_mobileTV
sincerely, your Alexis....

  • 1
?

Log in